Market Timing Research

Here are some more bullish and bearish seasonal charts from last night. If you are bullish you should favor the bullish charts for your watchlist, and if bearish the bearish charts. When it’s a bull market, the bullish seasonals tend to do very well and when it’s a bear market, the bearish seasonals tend to do well. You double stack the odds in your favor when you go with the flow, which is what a Seasonal Cash Flow Trader does.

Every month you get a list of such stocks, and their charts, in our Factor Seasonal newsletters. But here’s the KICKER. In our newsletters you not only get the best seasonal price projections (because we determine the right number of years to use in the projection charts, which we haven’t done here), but you also get stocks filtered by the fact of whether they do or don’t have a Factor Seasonal chart thats supports the projected price move. In other words, they’re filtered by the fact that their fundamental price behavior in similar types of economic environments ARE SUPPORTING THE PRICE MOVE PROJECTED.

Can’t beat that type of fundamental, inside information. You can pick stocks to buy or sell just from the price charts alone, but when you filter those charts by whether the stock has an underlying fundamental tendency to do the same thing, you’ve got gold.

That’s the Factor Seasonal approach to stock picking. If you’re a day trader or longer term stock picker, you want to have lists of these stocks because they offer the most volatility on the upside and downside. This is where the money is to be made.

Don’t fly blind. If you’re a fund manager or investor, always check for Factor Seasonal support first.

In terms of seasonal timing, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is now starting to correlate short term to its Bear Market Factor Seasonal. China announces that it will raise its exchange rate, Asian shares go crazy upwards, and the Dow does what???? It falls!

Take a look at the best seasonal projection chart, which is showing a possible bottom mid-July (exactly what the Foundation for the Study of Cyles is predicting):

If you want to be a good stock picker, right now the bet is on the downside for the next few days, at the minimum. That’s the best CURRENT forecast that the seasonals can give you. The Factor seasonal charts allow you to make better EWT counts and forecasts than anything else out there. That’s why the Elliottwave guys take their timing cues from us!

Of course with our new free software, which you can grab your hands on by taking advantage of our special offer of the Seasonal Cash Flow System, you can be creating seasonals for any stock you want — and you won’t even need a data feed. You won’t have our full software that we use to create all our factor seasonals, but once you see the stocks we pick in our newsletters, you can keep an eye on them (or any other shares you have) to keep up with the latest market timing.

For instance I just liquidated my portfolio today for a 3% gain on the entire account over the last few days, and I wasn’t anywhere near full invested. I just picked the stocks with the strongest factor seasonal trends upwards, loaded up on those stocks when they crossed my trigger points last week, and then liquidated today when my system triggered again. Without the Factor Seasonal software, I would never have known which shares would be among the best performing.

That’s how I do it, but you can use your own method with our software. Our newsletters do the extensive research to tell you which stocks to watch (you can’t possibly watch 10,000 shares yourself) and then you use whatever timing method you feel the most comfortable with. If you’re an active trader, this is the best way to pick the shares that are not just moving (all stock screens do that) but which ARE LIKELY TO CONTNUE MOVING ON INTO THE NEAR FUTURE. Don’t just bet on momentum alone, bet on the seasonal trend, and the fundamental trend behind the seasonal tend … the factor seasonal trend!