Market Timing Research

How to use Factor Seasonal Charts to Improve Your Trading and Investing

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Market Timing Dow Jones Forecasts Using Volume and Monetary Policy

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We’ve just completed a major new study here at Market Timing Research on volume cycles in conjunction with seasonal cycles. Using our same proprietary method for developing price seasonals, we did the same analysis for yearly volume to see if volume does indeed go up as prices go up, and down as prices drop, and to see if it could explain volatility in certain times of the year. Sure enough it does, and when there are periods of disconnect between volume and price, this may bespeak to an insecure market or periods of volatility that can be used to your benefit. The following charts shows what we’re talking about.

To our knowledge, no one has ever done this type of analysis previously or produced this type of chart before. As usual, we are market timer firsts. The stock charts suggests we should see a sharp spike UP in the market around now, though that would have to be confirmed with the lunar seasonal.

Volume Seasonal

The other factor seasonal we’d like to highlight is the DJI typical price pattern in years when the government is doing everything possible to provide easy money, as the market has about an 80% correlation with this trend. You can see the forward expectations if this pattern is to hold, once again forecasting a near term bump UP against all expectations.

monetary policy

Naturally you can find lots of individual stocks obeying their seasonal tendencies in our monthly newsletters. Just grab a sample subscription and see for yourself all the money you could be making with this insider information.

Written by Market Timer

May 25th, 2010 at 5:03 pm

Market Timing the Stocks Ahead …

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Market timers , We’re still expecting a market turnaround at the end of this month, starting around the 24th. The market is currently following the 4 year election cycle better than any other factor seasonal, so here it is for a preview…

Presidential Cycle

Presidential Cycle Seasonal Proejction

The charts this month has lots of opportunities. ATT looks good, CAT looks bad. CVX looks a bit depressed from where it should be, Citibank is on track. JPM seems like it’s ready to pop … If you are expecting bad times ahead, you’d pay attention to Disney, Walmart, Caterpillar and Dupont, and put a MACD trigger on the downward seasonal expectations. Seasonally those stocks go down; if there is a market crash, that decline on top of seasonal expectations should lead to some nice trading profits. Here’s a courtesy look at the recent DJIA newsletter with pure price projections. This type of inside information is how traders make money.

May DJIA Newsletter

Written by Market Timer

May 19th, 2010 at 1:17 am