Market Timing Research

On August 3 we posted a sample of 4 stock picks — two bullish stocks and 2 bearish stocks — from the August S&P100 and NASDAQ100 newsletters that were just released.

Well yesterday the Dow Jones newsletter was released (we release it in the middle of the month so that you can get some updates for the big Dow stocks without having to wait until the 1st of every month), so I decided to go back in and see what happened to those shares.

Part of the reason was because a subscriber wrote in the following:

I just wanted to give you a quick update on my progress and first experience with the MTR software. As you may recall, I recently signed up with MTR a few weeks ago, but was only recently able to begin using the software last week due to that email glitch which we have fixed. (thanks again for fixing that by the way). Using a combination of the software, the August newsletters, economic conditions, jobs and Fed data etc… I was able to target 2 really great trading opportunities for August. The first was JBHT and the second was RYAAY. I bought puts on both companies on Friday August 6th (5 days ago) and had planned on holding them over the next few weeks. I decided to go ahead and lock in a 78% gain as the old adage “Pigs get slaughtered” still holds true. I have already paid for my first year’s MTR subscription ! I just wanted to say thanks to you and Bill for what you guys are doing. I told Bill over the phone that I believe in MTR, and what you guys are doing. My belief has only been reinforced now, and my confidence strengthened. I been finding not only the software extremely helpful, but the newsletters and ESPECIALLY the Blogs as well. I look forward to the Blogs every day as I have the RSS feed going directly to my gmail account. I find the Blogs especially helpful because Bill really takes the time to explain not only what he looks for, but how he executes his trades. I can also tell by the way he presents his thoughts and ideas, that he is truly convicted and believes wholeheartedly in these concepts. He is genuine and sincere in his videos. The videos, the Blogs, the newsletters, the software…it’s all invaluable ! It’s the “icing on the cake” that I’ve been searching for to enhance my trading techniques. Thank you again, Will and Bill (and anyone else behind the scenes) for your hard work and dedication to MTR. I know it must require a tremendous amount of time, work, dedication and commitment to continuously produce quality results. I will remain a member of MTR as long as it is around.

- Matt McDonnell

Since he was trading the JBHT and RYAAY predictions from our newsletter, let’s analyze those shares to see how they performed. By no means is his case indicative of typical results, results you can expect, nor do we promise you the same type of experience, that you can duplicate such results, or profits using our newsletter or the accuracy of our newsletter. All our SEC, FTC and other disclaimers apply.

However, we have to use this opportunity (since our DJIA newsltter was just released) to analyze all four of these shares to show you once again how to use our newsletter and the many trading techniques that can benefit by it. Usually you have to wait more than a month for results but this is a good time because we’re in the middle of a marekt turn. So watch this video, and then you can go back to our August 3 blog video posting to see what we had predicted because it shows the actual pages from the Factor Seasonal newsletters that predate this.

Sometimes we’re wrong, but we alwasy protect ourselves with MACD or Fisher trigger stops and we’re never afraid to make predictions with our technique. If you are a trader, we believe we offer the most accurate methodology out there to get a future forecast of short and long term stock trends.

I just completed our August newsletters for the S&P100 and Nasdaq100, and thought this would be a good time to show you how to use our newsletters to pick trades. No other service does this for you.

Now see our legal disclaimers to understand we’re not recommending you buy or sell these stocks, nor are we investment advisors, etc. I’m just showing you how each and every month you get 20-30 great trade possibilites, and usually 8-12 (or more during the early Spring and late Fall) stellar setups. So this is not a recommendation to buy or sell shares, nor is it a guarantee of profits or investment success. It’s sort of silly you have to mention this all the time, but it’s the legalities of the world today, and we suggest you read our full TERMS and DISCLAIMERS.

That said … once you have our Factor Seasonal price charts, you can go long, short, buy puts or calls, or whatever your normal investment or trading strategy happens to be after you find a forecast of interest. When the orange projection line and green ordinary seasonal agree, the trend is strong and worthwhile, the correlation with past price action (in the upper right corner) is 70% or higher, and there’s factor seasonal support, those are shares we like. So we don’t interfere with your strategy or try to teach you to be something you aren’t but simply find those setups for you that fit your trading style. These newsletters are perfect for finding you the trading opportunities you want, even if you are a day trader.

I tend to have an equal number of longs and shorts in volatile environments, but then  nearly 100% long or short when the trend becomes crystal clear. How do I pick my trades? I find perfect seasonal set-ups, like this video shows, wait for price action to trigger a MACD, tendline break, or Fisher transform crossover, and then take a position. Simple as that. Some win, some lose (no method is perfect), but at least you are stacking the odds in your favor.

Watch to see how I do this…the stocks being analyzed (we do the analysis for you so you only have to pick the stocks you want to trade) are MO and  CELG on the bullish side and RYAAY and JBHT on the bearish side.

Here’s the latest Dow Forecast …

Dow Jones Against its Best Projected Seasonal Pattern

Last Friday many stocks had bullish MACD crossovers. That includes 23 NASDAQ100 stocks and 18 S&P100 stocks.

After passing them through our factor seasonal filters, a smaller subset of stocks was left for consideration. These include USB, GILD, FCX, MS, RTN, DELL, FAST, ERTS, MXIM, GENZ, CELG, GILD. That’s 6 S&P100 stocks and 7 NASDAQ100 stocks. So you can see that the factor seasonal approach really cuts down on trades to look at, and THAT’s VALUABLE!

Of those passing yet a further set of filters, three stocks were left: RTN, FAST and CELG. 41 stocks were reduced to 3 (USB is a semi-possible, which would make 4). Here are the charts:

Raytheon – Aerospace and Defense

Fastenal Company – Materials and Construction”

CELG – Drugs and Biotech