How to use Factor Seasonal Charts to Improve Your Trading and Investing
Here are the latest seasonals for the US market … our SP500 forecast inthe nesletter is spot on but the NASDAQ seasonal projection line is off, and continues to be off even with this updated data. That’s because there are few years within the past history of the NASDAQ where the market turned down so much in May, and hence we cannot build such an accurate seasonal for it. That tells you someting in itself …
S&P 500 Index Weekly Trend Projection
NASDAQ Index Weekly Trend Projection
The world seems to hate Goldman Sachs right now. Rarely have I seen such vehemence, except perhaps the hate for Monsanto and its business practices which seem, to an astute observer, possible even more dangerous than what cretaed our banking crsisis.
In the case of Goldman, I suppose all that greed eventually catches up with you. With the threat of a government lawsuit that hit the firm by surprise, the stock stumbled taking Wall Street with it. But the seasonals suggest that this may soon present a great bargain hunting bottom.
Goldman Sachs Trend Projection
I spent two months in China recently and can only confirm what I always say. This century will belong to the Chinese. This is coming from someone who has lived there and visits once or twice a year for a month or so each time, talking to countless politicians, businessmen, monks, factory owners, professors, students, military men … you name it.
I’d throw in Brazil and India as two other coming powers because they also will be producers and exporters, and can grow their middle class of consumers which as yet do not have access to lots of consumer credit. Nevertheless, in my view China will be king.
China is becoming the world’s manufacturing capital before our eyes and will be that in the near future. We cannot stimulate jobs but they can. They can export. They can close in on themselves and develop internally without need of exports. They’re not shackled with expensive health care burdens, nor with union problems or expensive labor (yet) nor expensive foreign wars. Naturally they have other probems and one that I’d worry about is the potential for political problems around 2012…
China ETF Trend Projection
As to the rest of the US market …
S&P 500 Index Weekly Trend Projection
Dow Jones Industrial Average Trend Projection
NASDAQ Index Weekly Trend Projection
Today’s Factor Seasonal Charts offer solace to traders worried about this week’s market drops. Take a look at the regular seasonal trend lines (in GREEN) for all three indexes – the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Notice how January tends to see 1-2 drops before running up into February.
This is exactly the patterns we’re seeing right now in the current market action (shown in YELLOW).
S&P 500 Index Weekly Trend Projection
Dow Jones Industrial Average Trend Projection
NASDAQ Index Weekly Trend Projection
Folks, these trend projections have been running remarkably accurate all year long. And we’re seeing significant support for the two-three month trend projections (in ORANGE) for these indexes.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The S&P500 seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The Nasdaq Composite seasonal trend projection for this week.The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The S&P500 seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The Nasdaq Composite seasonal trend projection for this week.The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The S&P500 seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The Nasdaq Composite seasonal trend projection for this week.The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The Hang Seng seasonal trend projection for this week.The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The S&P500 seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The Nasdaq Composite seasonal trend projection for this week.The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
Click here to get more NASDAQ stock trend projections …
And make sure to let me know if you have any questions on these projections – or if you’d like more of these videos or heck, just leave me a comment so I know you’re alive =).
The Dow Jones Industrial Average seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The S&P500 seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
The Nasdaq Composite seasonal trend projection for this week.The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:
