Market Timing Research

How to use Factor Seasonal Charts to Improve Your Trading and Investing

Archive for the ‘Stock Picks’ Category

Seasonal Tops for NASDAQ100 and S&P100 Stocks

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seasonal stock tradingThis list is priceless….if you have our seasonal charts to see whether the trend is large enough and long enough to risk or not. But I’ve marked the stocks to watch with asterisks!

So this is a list of the typical seasonal top dates for various stocks from the NASDAQ100 and S&P100 based on analysis from our seasonal analysis charting software. Naturally the dates can be shifted forwards and backwards several days each and would change if the market changed dramatically as well.

You also have to confirm any triggers with price trend indicators and our seasonal program, too, which you get with our Super Seasonal Cash Flow Trader’s package. For instance, some people are calling for a market top September 7-8, or September 13-14-15, and September 23. So many possibilities. I personally think September 14 will be the important date though I will carefully watch the 7-8 period.

Enjoy – And as I always sign the end of our newsletters, may favorable trade winds be with you.

MO – Sept 10-15
T – Sept 30
BNY – Sept 10-15
CVS – Sept 10-13-15 **
HD – Sept 13 **
LOW – Sept 13
WY – Sept 15, 24, 29-30 **
BAX – Sept 14-20 **
DD – Sept 13 **
FDX – Sept 16 **
HAL – Sept 9-13 **
MON – Sept 8, 20 **
TGT – Sept 13, 16 **
AMAT – Sept 10 **
ESRX – Sept 16, 29 **
GENZ – Sept 13-16
MCHP – Sept 8-13 **
NVDA – Sept 20
ROST – Sept 15
ALTR – Sept 20-22 **
APOL – Sept 9 **
CHKP – Sept 13, 30
EXPD – Sept 14
FISV – Sept 13-15 **
FLEX – Sept 9-10 **
FLIR – Sept 17 **
IACI – Spet 15 **
LLTC – Sept 13-15 **
LBTYA – Sept 13-16 **
MRVL – Sept 8
PCAR – Sept 3 **
URBN – Sept 15
WYNN – Sept 17, 21, 24 **

And now, some support dates …

CL – Sept 22
SO – Sept 21-23
CVX – Sept 23
ETR – Sept 23
MRK – Sept 30
MICC – Sept 15
PAYX – Sept 23, October 7

DO NOT FIXATE ON THESE DATES.

They are indications from the seasonal charts. You must be adaptive and confirm price changes with indicators before something becomes a stock pick. However, now you have the BEST, the absolute best predictions possible at this moment. If the market changes severely, naturally these dates will change as well because we will select different years from our past history bin to create our forecast.

But now you know the type of information you can mine from our newsletters. Not a lot of stocks to watch out of 200! And if you look at the seasonal charts, you whittle this list down even further.

Now that’s the power of the Factor Seasonal charts!

Written by Market Timer

September 7th, 2010 at 3:35 am

3 Sample NASDAQ Forecasts from Our September Newsletter

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Last month we had a real hit (and great success in accuracy) showing some stock forecasts like RYAAY which followed their seasonal projections right in line with expectations. Well our NASDAQ100 newsletter was released August 28 — a few days early this month — to allow traders to get in some early trading since a lot of good patterns were expected to develop right around September 1.

A few days have passed, so let’s look at just three sample forecasts for YHOO, SBUX and PDCO right out of the newsletter, though of course the newsletter (and our S&P100 newsletter) have many more great trades inside, especially since we are waiting for mid-month highs to short a number of stocks or sell calls or buy puts.

As always, we are NOT RECOMMENDING any particular trade or trading strategy, nor saying these forecasts will come true, or guaranteeing you will make money with our newsletter, nor rendering trading advice, nor one of 1,000 different things our lawyers tell us to mention. Our normal disclaimers apply, and you are hereby noticed to read those disclaimers.

That legal gobbely-gook being said, here are the seasonal analysis forecasts for 3 sample stocks from the latest NASDAQ100 newsletter, and you can see how the shares are already following very clear expectations.

Personally I expect stock reversals for many shares starting around September 7-8 and 14-15, so I have a close stop on my own trades. I chose not to even show the bearish trades yet since the best are yet to come, so there’s still time to subscribe and get those.

The whole point is that you can use these Factor Seasonal chart projections, in conjunction with normal technical analysis, to buy/sell stocks and buy/sell options. I particularly like writing vertical credit spreads since with the mathematics available from the ThinkOrSwim platform, we can lower our risks tremendously picking the right strike price and expiration that are likely to collect premium more safely. The newsletters give the timing and direction, and the ThinkorSwim platform gives the math.

I hope to offer another newsletter on this trading strategy in a few months time after we get all the details worked out for this yet another trading strategy possible using our factor seasonal analysis.

Until then, if you already trade options, then watch this video of projections and think about what YOU WOULD DO if you had this information that you could use with your own trading system …

Remember, every month we analyze 100 different stocks in our NASDAQ100 and S&P100 newsletters. Mid-month we release the DJIA newsletter, which follows the most optioned big cap stocks. If you are an active trader or investor, this is the one service that provides projections whereas everyone else just offers opinions. Our best offer is the Seasonal Cash Flow Trader package whose price is rising soon.

Written by Market Timer

September 2nd, 2010 at 9:44 pm

Market Neutral Case Study Concluded – 2 Bullish and Bearish Stock Trends

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On August 3 we posted a sample of 4 stock picks — two bullish stocks and 2 bearish stocks — from the August S&P100 and NASDAQ100 newsletters that were just released.

Well yesterday the Dow Jones newsletter was released (we release it in the middle of the month so that you can get some updates for the big Dow stocks without having to wait until the 1st of every month), so I decided to go back in and see what happened to those shares.

Part of the reason was because a subscriber wrote in the following:

    I just wanted to give you a quick update on my progress and first experience with the MTR software. As you may recall, I recently signed up with MTR a few weeks ago, but was only recently able to begin using the software last week due to that email glitch which we have fixed. (thanks again for fixing that by the way). Using a combination of the software, the August newsletters, economic conditions, jobs and Fed data etc… I was able to target 2 really great trading opportunities for August. The first was JBHT and the second was RYAAY. I bought puts on both companies on Friday August 6th (5 days ago) and had planned on holding them over the next few weeks. I decided to go ahead and lock in a 78% gain as the old adage “Pigs get slaughtered” still holds true. I have already paid for my first year’s MTR subscription ! I just wanted to say thanks to you and Bill for what you guys are doing. I told Bill over the phone that I believe in MTR, and what you guys are doing. My belief has only been reinforced now, and my confidence strengthened. I been finding not only the software extremely helpful, but the newsletters and ESPECIALLY the Blogs as well. I look forward to the Blogs every day as I have the RSS feed going directly to my gmail account. I find the Blogs especially helpful because Bill really takes the time to explain not only what he looks for, but how he executes his trades. I can also tell by the way he presents his thoughts and ideas, that he is truly convicted and believes wholeheartedly in these concepts. He is genuine and sincere in his videos. The videos, the Blogs, the newsletters, the software…it’s all invaluable ! It’s the “icing on the cake” that I’ve been searching for to enhance my trading techniques. Thank you again, Will and Bill (and anyone else behind the scenes) for your hard work and dedication to MTR. I know it must require a tremendous amount of time, work, dedication and commitment to continuously produce quality results. I will remain a member of MTR as long as it is around.

    - Matt McDonnell

Since he was trading the JBHT and RYAAY predictions from our newsletter, let’s analyze those shares to see how they performed. By no means is his case indicative of typical results, results you can expect, nor do we promise you the same type of experience, that you can duplicate such results, or profits using our newsletter or the accuracy of our newsletter. All our SEC, FTC and other disclaimers apply.

However, we have to use this opportunity (since our DJIA newsltter was just released) to analyze all four of these shares to show you once again how to use our newsletter and the many trading techniques that can benefit by it. Usually you have to wait more than a month for results but this is a good time because we’re in the middle of a marekt turn. So watch this video, and then you can go back to our August 3 blog video posting to see what we had predicted because it shows the actual pages from the Factor Seasonal newsletters that predate this.

Sometimes we’re wrong, but we alwasy protect ourselves with MACD or Fisher trigger stops and we’re never afraid to make predictions with our technique. If you are a trader, we believe we offer the most accurate methodology out there to get a future forecast of short and long term stock trends.

Written by Market Timer

August 15th, 2010 at 3:56 am

How to trade stocks (Pfizer in this Example) using Seasonal analysis

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People always ask me how to make stock picks or how to trade stocks using seasonal analysis. Well our August newsletters came out over the weekend, I went through the charts and selected several buy and sell candidates, and then got in on Monday for the stocks that I thought had already proven their seasonals.

You don’t always get in on the first day of the month. It was just that some stocks had proven their seasonal lows just prior to the new newsletters. For other stocks the newsletter shows that I should be waiting for trend changes in the middle of this month because they tend to make some V-tops and bottoms. So those go on the watch list and I have plenty of time to evaluate them.

In any case, Pfizer (PFE) was one of the stocks I got in for the retirement account. It’s a short term trade I’m only expecting to hold until September, and if it beats 2% for CDs I’m doing much better than even most portfolio managers, and that’s what seasonal analysis can often do for you in terms of stock picks. In this video you can see the chart, how I selected it, and a SURPRISE … I wake up the next day and PFE had an upside gap due to an earnings announcement well beyond expectations, so the price action in following the seasonals were forewarning of that. Just like our AMZN trading video, these unexpected great moves happen time and again when you start using the seasonal charts for your trading. It might not happen this month, but you get the newsletter month after month and eventually those trades happen for you as you get better at stock selection.

In other words, this video shows you what you get from our newsletters and how to use them to select stocks on both the Buy side and Sell side. Stock pickers love this. Clear signals if you want to buy stocks and sell stocks. Just look for:

    1. The green line (ordinary seasonal) and orange projection line (factor seasonal) both head in the same direction
    2. The correlation number in the upper right corner is around 70% or more, or the chart looks so good that you can ignore it
    3. The expected move is big so I have a good chance of making money (though I often trade small moves for 5% or so if the move is consistent on both the green and orange lines with a high correlation and Factor Seasonal support; 5% beats 2% CDs for a year of money sitting in the bank or money market account)

Written by Market Timer

August 3rd, 2010 at 2:16 pm

How I made a Gazillion dollars trading Amazon’s (AMZN) seasonal trends

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No I didn’t make a “gazillion dollars.” I only made a small fortune, and I do this month in and month out using the technique in this video.

You might be surprised at how effective trading seasonal trends is in this volatile market environment. I’ve been making a killing over and over in this market – I show you how I’m doing it in this video. And even breakdown my latest Amazon trade.

If you want to try it go ahead and click here to accept the FREE 14-Day Trial of our Factor Seasonal Trends newsletters for the S&P 100, NASDAQ 100, Dow stocks AND you can download a complimentary version of our Seasonal Stock Charting Software as a bonus.

In this month’s NASDAQ newsletter I actually go through and show trade after trade after trade you can make with our newsletter, just like AMZN, and how to use our charts to stay out of stocks if you are a day trader or options player. You can go back and see I’ve been doing this for you all year long even in this difficult environment because this method is perennial. No I can’t promise you’ll make money with this — our disclaimer applies (you know the lawyers make us say that) — but all you have to do is look at the charts, figure out what you would have done with this information, and then decide for yourself. Most newsletters give great interpetations of economics and stocks but no one is bold enough to give you trading and investing charts ahead of time except us. Call us brave or stupid, but I don’t want to take your money if this thing really doesn’t work.

With our big super Seasonal Cash Flow System package, you’ll also get to read our long term cycles synopsis this month in the S&P100 newsletter which will tell you what shares we’re already expecting to buy in October. Yeah, October…stocks we think will run up for 2-3 years!

Only cycles plus Factor Seasonals can allow you to make projections this accurate. Don’t believe me — Check out the website videos from previous years and the past newsletters during your free trial. The pictures do not lie. Once again, I don’t want your money if you cannot make money with this, but with so muchhype out there with people trying to sellyou stuff, why believe me? So we lay it all on the line … our system is more sound than anything else we can dream of, and the latest videos will show it really works at picking stock trades. Stay tuned to watch the new ones that are coming month end.

If you are an investor or trader, absolutely nothing beats this type of seasonal projection information. You can actually see the likely price of the stock ahead of time and wait for a price confirmation to confirm the anticipated trend. It couldn’t be simpler than that.

People charge $5,000 for options newsletters that don’t deliver a fraction of what we offer, but you have to hurry to get into the Seasonal Cash Flow System packagenow because we have a limited time only price and will be raising it to options newsletter prices after the word gets out, at which time you might not be able to afford us and will miss all these setup trades.

That’s why we’re revealing all these trades right now and showing you how to profit from our “Factor Seasonal” projections, which are different from ordinary seasonals. Once we reach our targeted number of introductory subscribers, the doors get closed and the price will be raised so grab the discounted multi-subscription deal to our 3 newsletters, which cover over two hundred stocks, while it’s still available.

Written by Market Timer

July 25th, 2010 at 4:34 pm