Market Timing Research

Last month we had a real hit (and great success in accuracy) showing some stock forecasts like RYAAY which followed their seasonal projections right in line with expectations. Well our NASDAQ100 newsletter was released August 28 — a few days early this month — to allow traders to get in some early trading since a lot of good patterns were expected to develop right around September 1.

A few days have passed, so let’s look at just three sample forecasts for YHOO, SBUX and PDCO right out of the newsletter, though of course the newsletter (and our S&P100 newsletter) have many more great trades inside, especially since we are waiting for mid-month highs to short a number of stocks or sell calls or buy puts.

As always, we are NOT RECOMMENDING any particular trade or trading strategy, nor saying these forecasts will come true, or guaranteeing you will make money with our newsletter, nor rendering trading advice, nor one of 1,000 different things our lawyers tell us to mention. Our normal disclaimers apply, and you are hereby noticed to read those disclaimers.

That legal gobbely-gook being said, here are the seasonal analysis forecasts for 3 sample stocks from the latest NASDAQ100 newsletter, and you can see how the shares are already following very clear expectations.

Personally I expect stock reversals for many shares starting around September 7-8 and 14-15, so I have a close stop on my own trades. I chose not to even show the bearish trades yet since the best are yet to come, so there’s still time to subscribe and get those.

The whole point is that you can use these Factor Seasonal chart projections, in conjunction with normal technical analysis, to buy/sell stocks and buy/sell options. I particularly like writing vertical credit spreads since with the mathematics available from the ThinkOrSwim platform, we can lower our risks tremendously picking the right strike price and expiration that are likely to collect premium more safely. The newsletters give the timing and direction, and the ThinkorSwim platform gives the math.

I hope to offer another newsletter on this trading strategy in a few months time after we get all the details worked out for this yet another trading strategy possible using our factor seasonal analysis.

Until then, if you already trade options, then watch this video of projections and think about what YOU WOULD DO if you had this information that you could use with your own trading system …

Remember, every month we analyze 100 different stocks in our NASDAQ100 and S&P100 newsletters. Mid-month we release the DJIA newsletter, which follows the most optioned big cap stocks. If you are an active trader or investor, this is the one service that provides projections whereas everyone else just offers opinions. Our best offer is the Seasonal Cash Flow Trader package whose price is rising soon.

I just completed our August newsletters for the S&P100 and Nasdaq100, and thought this would be a good time to show you how to use our newsletters to pick trades. No other service does this for you.

Now see our legal disclaimers to understand we’re not recommending you buy or sell these stocks, nor are we investment advisors, etc. I’m just showing you how each and every month you get 20-30 great trade possibilites, and usually 8-12 (or more during the early Spring and late Fall) stellar setups. So this is not a recommendation to buy or sell shares, nor is it a guarantee of profits or investment success. It’s sort of silly you have to mention this all the time, but it’s the legalities of the world today, and we suggest you read our full TERMS and DISCLAIMERS.

That said … once you have our Factor Seasonal price charts, you can go long, short, buy puts or calls, or whatever your normal investment or trading strategy happens to be after you find a forecast of interest. When the orange projection line and green ordinary seasonal agree, the trend is strong and worthwhile, the correlation with past price action (in the upper right corner) is 70% or higher, and there’s factor seasonal support, those are shares we like. So we don’t interfere with your strategy or try to teach you to be something you aren’t but simply find those setups for you that fit your trading style. These newsletters are perfect for finding you the trading opportunities you want, even if you are a day trader.

I tend to have an equal number of longs and shorts in volatile environments, but then  nearly 100% long or short when the trend becomes crystal clear. How do I pick my trades? I find perfect seasonal set-ups, like this video shows, wait for price action to trigger a MACD, tendline break, or Fisher transform crossover, and then take a position. Simple as that. Some win, some lose (no method is perfect), but at least you are stacking the odds in your favor.

Watch to see how I do this…the stocks being analyzed (we do the analysis for you so you only have to pick the stocks you want to trade) are MO and  CELG on the bullish side and RYAAY and JBHT on the bearish side.

No I didn’t make a “gazillion dollars.” I only made a small fortune, and I do this month in and month out using the technique in this video.

You might be surprised at how effective trading seasonal trends is in this volatile market environment. I’ve been making a killing over and over in this market – I show you how I’m doing it in this video. And even breakdown my latest Amazon trade.

If you want to try it go ahead and click here to accept the FREE 14-Day Trial of our Factor Seasonal Trends newsletters for the S&P 100, NASDAQ 100, Dow stocks AND you can download a complimentary version of our Seasonal Stock Charting Software as a bonus.

In this month’s NASDAQ newsletter I actually go through and show trade after trade after trade you can make with our newsletter, just like AMZN, and how to use our charts to stay out of stocks if you are a day trader or options player. You can go back and see I’ve been doing this for you all year long even in this difficult environment because this method is perennial. No I can’t promise you’ll make money with this — our disclaimer applies (you know the lawyers make us say that) — but all you have to do is look at the charts, figure out what you would have done with this information, and then decide for yourself. Most newsletters give great interpetations of economics and stocks but no one is bold enough to give you trading and investing charts ahead of time except us. Call us brave or stupid, but I don’t want to take your money if this thing really doesn’t work.

With our big super Seasonal Cash Flow System package, you’ll also get to read our long term cycles synopsis this month in the S&P100 newsletter which will tell you what shares we’re already expecting to buy in October. Yeah, October…stocks we think will run up for 2-3 years!

Only cycles plus Factor Seasonals can allow you to make projections this accurate. Don’t believe me — Check out the website videos from previous years and the past newsletters during your free trial. The pictures do not lie. Once again, I don’t want your money if you cannot make money with this, but with so muchhype out there with people trying to sellyou stuff, why believe me? So we lay it all on the line … our system is more sound than anything else we can dream of, and the latest videos will show it really works at picking stock trades. Stay tuned to watch the new ones that are coming month end.

If you are an investor or trader, absolutely nothing beats this type of seasonal projection information. You can actually see the likely price of the stock ahead of time and wait for a price confirmation to confirm the anticipated trend. It couldn’t be simpler than that.

People charge $5,000 for options newsletters that don’t deliver a fraction of what we offer, but you have to hurry to get into the Seasonal Cash Flow System packagenow because we have a limited time only price and will be raising it to options newsletter prices after the word gets out, at which time you might not be able to afford us and will miss all these setup trades.

That’s why we’re revealing all these trades right now and showing you how to profit from our “Factor Seasonal” projections, which are different from ordinary seasonals. Once we reach our targeted number of introductory subscribers, the doors get closed and the price will be raised so grab the discounted multi-subscription deal to our 3 newsletters, which cover over two hundred stocks, while it’s still available.

Here are the latest seasonals for the US market … our SP500 forecast inthe nesletter is spot on but the NASDAQ seasonal projection line is off, and continues to be off even with this updated data. That’s because there are few years within the past history of the NASDAQ where the market turned down so much in May, and hence we cannot build such an accurate seasonal for it. That tells you someting in itself …

S&P 500 Index Weekly Trend Projection

NASDAQ Index Weekly Trend Projection

The world seems to hate Goldman Sachs right now. Rarely have I seen such vehemence, except perhaps the hate for Monsanto and its business practices which seem, to an astute observer, possible even more dangerous than what cretaed our banking crsisis.

In the case of Goldman, I suppose all that greed eventually catches up with you. With the threat of a government lawsuit that hit the firm by surprise, the stock stumbled taking Wall Street with it. But the seasonals suggest that this may soon present a great bargain hunting bottom.

Goldman Sachs Trend Projection

I spent two months in China recently and can only confirm what I always say. This century will belong to the Chinese. This is coming from someone who has lived there and visits once or twice a year for a month or so each time, talking to countless politicians, businessmen, monks, factory owners, professors, students, military men … you name it.

I’d throw in Brazil and India as two other coming powers because they also will be producers and exporters, and can grow their middle class of consumers which as yet do not have access to lots of consumer credit. Nevertheless, in my view China will be king.

China is becoming the world’s manufacturing capital before our eyes and will be that in the near future. We cannot stimulate jobs but they can. They can export. They can close in on themselves and develop internally without need of exports. They’re not shackled with expensive health care burdens, nor with union problems or expensive labor (yet) nor expensive foreign wars. Naturally they have other probems and one that I’d worry about is the potential for political problems around 2012…

China ETF Trend Projection

As to the rest of the US market …

S&P 500 Index Weekly Trend Projection

Dow Jones Industrial Average Trend Projection

NASDAQ Index Weekly Trend Projection

Today’s Factor Seasonal Charts offer solace to traders worried about this week’s market drops. Take a look at the regular seasonal trend lines (in GREEN) for all three indexes – the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Notice how January tends to see 1-2 drops before running up into February.

This is exactly the patterns we’re seeing right now in the current market action (shown in YELLOW).

S&P 500 Index Weekly Trend Projection

Dow Jones Industrial Average Trend Projection

NASDAQ Index Weekly Trend Projection

Folks, these trend projections have been running remarkably accurate all year long. And we’re seeing significant support for the two-three month trend projections (in ORANGE) for these indexes.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The S&P500 seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The Nasdaq Composite seasonal trend projection for this week.The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The S&P500 seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The Nasdaq Composite seasonal trend projection for this week.The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The S&P500 seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The Nasdaq Composite seasonal trend projection for this week.The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The Hang Seng seasonal trend projection for this week.The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The S&P500 seasonal trend forecasting chart for this week. The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE:

The Nasdaq Composite seasonal trend projection for this week.The 2009 price trend is in YELLOW, the annual seasonal trend is in GREEN and the Factor Seasonal Projection is in ORANGE: