What are the other contents of this newsletter?

We are getting near the end of QE2, the famous stimulus plan of the Federal government, which is geared to end in June. You and I know there will probably be a QE3, QE4 and so forh because we are just not around the corner. Jobs are not coming back and will not for five years. Cycles show that the market may turn in May in anticipation of this drop off of easy credit and low interest rates. So do seasonals, and you can grab a peek in this newsletter.

On top of this, the “Dogs of the Dow” strategy has an interesting cyclical profile which is indicating when you might buy this famous performing strategy.

Where can you find all these projections so you can make money or save money, specifically the value of your 401K? Just for this month only I’ve made my Dow forecast newsletter available for free. You can download it at

MarketTimingResearch.com/bonus/DJIA-March-April-2011.pdf

If you’ve been wondering whether to invest in our newsletters, you might want to try the Dow newsletter whose new format contains both seasonals and cyclical projections to help you with your trading and investments.

Buffett and GE go back a long way because in the 2008 market collapse Buffett provided $3 billion to GE in return for preferred stock and warrants to buy $3 billion in GE common shares. GE’s stock hasn’t shown a dramatic recovery, and now the company is reporting that 2011 finally looks rosy. But as to the stock price…check the seasonals.

This does not mean that this will come true because a roraring bull can throw all these projections aside. However, you should be ready. Furthermore, whatever happens, Spring will definitely be a great time to pick up shares if the seasonal holds true. That’s what seasonals help you predict.

But first, the best seasonal price forecast or projection chart for HD going forwards from this moment in time:

Right now, the Home Depot price behavior has most closely matched what it does during Bear Markets. Yes, Bear Markets. And with that knowledge, we can look at our Bull-Bear market Factor Seasonal chart of HD and see that the point of recognition is September 13. That’s when the stock possibly plummets. When you have your own seasonal software from our Super Seasonal Cash Flow Traders package, you can create this type of chart to determine this date exactly.

So how do you trade this? I wouldn’t. I simply look for the stocks where I have a much better certainty of outcome because all the factors are aligned. Every month I produce analysis for 100 stocks in each newseltter and ALWAYS find great trades. Home Depot has too much risk for me because I look for much better odds.

Oh, you mean you WANT to trade Home Depot, so you’re asking what to do? Well, come September 13 I might buy puts OR sell calls in a vertical credit spread. That’s me — it’s not a recommendation to you. Right now I might sell puts in a vertical spread as well…that’s me once again, not a recommendation. Buy for a pop? Too risky for me because of time cycles for the Dow Jones (of which Home Depot is a member) peaking the first week of September. It might go up but I just don’t like trades that short in time because it doesn’t give me enough time room for the seasonal to prove out, and with today’s volatility, I want all the factors in my favor. That’s why I go with the newsletter spotted set-ups.

Anyway, that’s how I do it. Doing it sometimes means “I don’t”. That doesn’t mean HD won’t go up or make money, just that the newsletter offers far better setups in my opinion.

Remember, check the Factor Seasonal charts before trading or longer term investing.

This is the current best forecast of the Dow Jones Industrial Average using the best seasonal technology and methods available. Remember this is seasonals, not cycles. Actually the forecast is not very good for the simple reason that the upper right hand corner shows — the figure is less than 70%, so it’s not very accurate or trustworthy for going forwards.

However, some readers wanted to see this projection so here it is, and it matches with the cycles projections from the Foundation for the Study of Cycles which still suggests some type of interim top (perhaps at a lower level) in September, and then a collapse.

Long term, we don’t see how the US can escape a double dip recession. In fact, it really hasn’t left the “first recession” with unemployment at record rates. And now that census takers are being left off, retail is off, commercial real estate is off (the malls are empty) because consumers aren’t spending, new home sales are off (so don’t expect a boon in construction workers any time soon), the BP Oil spill will hit the coastal states, … frankly with all this true BAD news I don’t see where the recovery lies.

Nevertheless, the market CAN do some crazy things…for awhile until reality catches up. Here’s the best seasonal forecast of the DOW we can provide at present.

This chart does suggest a fake rally and dip by month’s end, then rally into August. By cycles analysis, August 6-13 could see a mini-top in the market, and then a decline, so stay tuned to your MACD signals or trendline breaks for signals. A long term moving average would be much too slow for what we expect.

If you’d like, you can click here to get our Factor Seasonal Trading software – and our 3 Market Timing Services – right now FREE for 14-days so you can see the forecasted trends for the stocks, ETFs, indexes or mutual funds you’re trading or investing in.

The employment figures coming out Friday may change things, but the market has already pretty much digested the results of the G20 summit in Canada with governments promising to cut budget deficits over the next few years. That can only mean two things: higher taxes and less spending on entitlements. We agree with Krugman–if they go through with this, it will eventually produce a double dip recession at the least.

To our knowledge, no one has ever done this type of analysis previously or produced this type of chart before. As usual, we are market timer firsts. The stock charts suggests we should see a sharp spike UP in the market around now, though that would have to be confirmed with the lunar seasonal.

The other factor seasonal we’d like to highlight is the DJI typical price pattern in years when the government is doing everything possible to provide easy money, as the market has about an 80% correlation with this trend. You can see the forward expectations if this pattern is to hold, once again forecasting a near term bump UP against all expectations.

Naturally you can find lots of individual stocks obeying their seasonal tendencies in our monthly newsletters. Just grab a sample subscription and see for yourself all the money you could be making with this insider information.

Presidential Cycle Seasonal Proejction

The charts this month has lots of opportunities. ATT looks good, CAT looks bad. CVX looks a bit depressed from where it should be, Citibank is on track. JPM seems like it’s ready to pop … If you are expecting bad times ahead, you’d pay attention to Disney, Walmart, Caterpillar and Dupont, and put a MACD trigger on the downward seasonal expectations. Seasonally those stocks go down; if there is a market crash, that decline on top of seasonal expectations should lead to some nice trading profits. Here’s a courtesy look at the recent DJIA newsletter with pure price projections. This type of inside information is how traders make money.

May DJIA Newsletter

We looked at Goldman Sachs previously, so how does Morgan Stanley fare? Let’s look at the factor seasonal charts…

The seasonal chart here suggests that we wait for a MACD upturn for a quick rebound in the stock, perhaps a chance for trading profits. But what about during bear markets?

Although we are expecting a severe downturn in July-August, Morgan usually holds steady during market downturns during that period. If it was a normal weakness we were expecting, the seasonal suggests Morgan would be holding its value and thus a safer BUY than we would consider without having any such information. But sine we are expecting a big drop/weakness in August, this typical chart may not hold.

In any case, you now see the power of seasonals in helping to judge a stock for trading purposes. We offer chart books of past stock performance in ALL sorts of trading environments — bull/bear markets, increasing/decreasing inflation rates, increasing/decreasing interest rates, economic expansions/recession, Democrats/Republicans in office, and so on. They are invaluable for both the Technical analyst doing market timing and fundamental trader ho is focusing on earnings and P/E ratios.