Market Timing Research

Many folks have asked us about the Macro millionaire Coaching Program. We give it two thumbs up. In fact, we suggest you take our seasonal software and run the macro trades through them first to see whether the timing can be improved or not. Ins ome cases we’ve found we can improve the trade greatly.

As we always say, you must use some method to pick the trades, and use the seasonal method, when appropriate to refine the timing. You can be a technical trader and just trade off the seasonals alone, but when you have a fundamental macro bias, and the seasonals align, you have a perfect storm of trend following profits in store.

John Thomas, the Macro Millionaire expert of global macro hedge fund trading trends, has just released a new video you might want to watch Six Major Trends for 2011 That Will Make You Rich or Miserable

If you are interested in the Macro Millionaire Coaching Program, click on this link to find out more information here including his track record, experience qualifications, world views, how to trade like a hedge fund, and so forth: ==> Macro Millionaire Coaching Program

Some people are saying that the US market will do better this year than China’s stock market. Frankly, I think that Taiwan, which has started to normalize relations with China, will be the big winner of the three. If China keeps going strong, Taiwan’s inroads will continue. If the US trumps China this year, Taiwan will still plow forward with its moves at business integration.

This funny video just appeared on how the US could get China to revalue its currency overnight, the Yuan (remingbi), if it just imposed punitive duties. I do not believe we would see a rush of factories returning to US shores, however, if this happened. We would see a switch of manufacturing to Vietnam instead and the US, which offsored its capabilities, would not be able to gain very many jobs in return. With globalization we sent those jobs everywhere, South America included.

Nonetheless I do believe that sometime in from 2011 to 2012 the U.S. will finally awaken and push China into a higher negotiated exchange rate. Naturally it will not be the high rate that the US wants, and also it will not save the US … the video speaks the truth about this. China wants to do nothing of the sort because it needs a low remingbi to keep factories churning out orders and people employed. Social unrest is a big potential problem in China, and you can expect many issues like that to hit the forefront of the People’s Congress in 2012.

Sometime in 2011-2012, our contrarian instincts suggest the Yuan, or remingbi as I used to know it when I was in China, will be revalued dramatically. Watch the video and then the seasonal forecasts for the Yuan, FXI and Taiwan ETF — EWT.

Here is the current seasonal chart of the Yuan via the CYB ETF, the FXI and EWT … for the Yuan there is too few years to make any reliable seasonal, and the accuracy fo the FXI prediction is lousy at the moment, but that’s the best we can do …